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Prediction for CME (2022-01-22T12:38:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2022-01-22T12:38ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/18941/-1 CME Note: Visible in the NW in STEREO A COR2, NE in SOHO LASCO C2. Associated with a filament eruption near N40E20, visible in SDO AIA 171/193/304 and STEREO A EUVI 195 beginning 2022-01-22T06:35Z. There is a fainter envelope surrounding the clear leading edge in both coronagraphs. CME was not detected at Earth. Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-01-26T00:00Z Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0 Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (Met Office) Prediction Method Note: Met Office ENLIL settings. ENLIL version: 2.7 Resolution: medium-res (512x60x180) (X1=0.1-1.7/uniform X2=30.-150./uniform X3=0.-360./uniform) Ambient settings: a3b2-sa1 WSA version: 2.2 Please specify following CME input parameters. Time at 21.5Rs boundary: Radial velocity (km/s): Longitude (deg): Latitude (deg): Half-angular width (deg): Notes: Space weather advisor:Lead Time: 71.32 hour(s) Difference: ----- Prediction submitted by Met Office (Met Office) on 2022-01-23T00:41Z |
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